u/humanspiral

Not reasonable to call him pro Russian with his nonsense views that "NATO is not a threat", "Russia will lose the war, and is targetting irrelevant buildings", or to humanize in any way CIA puppetted Ukrainian rulership and its antagonism and war provocation. Democracy is advanced by exterminating worthless divisive fraudulent scum.

That there are unhappy people in Russia suffering hardship is fair and reasonable, and corruption should be controlled. That Russia has options to alleviate hardships is fair, but fraudlent traitorous nonsense should not be tolerated anywhere in the world, and it harms his credibility regarding other concerns.

I got all data from this article

The data regarding the business confidence comes from Russian panelists. These are Russian entrepreneurs.

Yes PMI is 47. Below 50 is contraction. 47 is higher than US numbers. Mild contraction from very overheated levels is still a healthy economy. 16% interest rates are down from 21%, and likely to drop more. Russia has managed the good problem of wage increases being higher than inflation, which is unheard of under our fascism.

This is coming off "overheated levels" last year, and only down 0.7% year over year. If Russophobia propaganda drives US colony happiness, peace in Ukraine with commitments by Russia to reduce military production would create a difficult economic transition in Russia with more opportunity for such headlines, and perhaps Germany and Japan having a chance to surpass it in PPP GDP rankings again.

Private employment is very well paid, because military pay is so high. Inflation in Russia is led by wages.

They passed Germany and Japan since 2022. Weekly progress in SMO is constant and accelerating.

Full throated support for SMO necessity. Russia has moved up to 4th largest PPP GDP in world. Extremely high employment rate at high pay. The threat highlight is less about any impending collapse, but a call for greater centralization. Russia will have a difficult transition to peace after victory, and it's possible that this is a call to maintain the economic pluralism created by the SMO.

Iran is happy with permanent ceasefire. Israel had far greater initial demonic fantasies, and so we can say they lost. Trump's glorious victory strike no one should question its success is essentially helpful intervention on behalf of Iran. Israel better off not receiving missiles, too.

Emperor rutte has spoken. Well deputy emperor to trump, rutte, has spoken. NATO members all agree to destroy their societies in order to boost military spending by 150%. Traitors in member parliaments will need to be executed if they object to the empire.

At least Europes war on Russia will be worth it. Every 100 years, no one left alive to remember last failure.

Ukraine NATO version of a ceasefire proposal is so Ukraine can dig new defensive lines, and let western weapons production catch up with donations. Conducting terrorist operations day before meetings doesn't put Russia in a good mood either.

Zelensky power/bribery clinging does not bring peace to Ukraine any time soon.

I think that is an Arabic phrase. They speek Persian/Farsi

Know that US gives fake loans (forgiven the same day) for all IDF expenses. This is somehow not part of US miitary budget even though they pay for everything.

Withdrawal would be worse.

If we withdraw then China, Iran, human peaceniks win because of demonstrated weakness and failure. We must achieve bankruptcy!

At the same time, the hope is that Russian society would come out en masse against Russian President Putin and dispose of him from power.

Theory that Russia will collapse relies on hoping that Russians don't understand the existential threat of NATO expansion, and NATO hatred of them, AND all Russian power brokers will start believing NATO disinformation, AND risk of losing war will motivate Russians to surrender to Ukraine/NATO.

Instead, any Russian regime change is likely to be caused by Putin weakness and failure to nuke German and UK US military bases. Or otherwise perception of insufficient aggression/speed of progress.

Democracy means you have the illusion of mitigating warmongering, and right to object to your destruction.

Extremely weird story to get pushed out everywhere. Attacks on kyiv were retaliation for Ukrainian attempted drone terrorism on Moscow the day before.

Zelensky should be the one admonished for escalating stupidly, and usa silence encourages zelensky destruction of Ukraine.

Great post. Thank you. Strategy basics are succinct. Perfect Analysis dead on even 3 months ago. Russian gains also seem to be increasing every week. Accelrating last 2.

Main terms?

There is a Russian counter ultimatum, that Trump has enthusiastically embraced as glorious peace breakthrough: Ukraine must go back to resume Istanbul peace talks this week.

You might start then, as a Pole i could tell you that normal people here don’t want to fight for the Ukraine either. Hell, even though intensive media brainwashing no one even seriously believe Russia will attack us (well, maybe except the usual tinfoil brains).

There is no Russian desire to rule over Poland or Kyiv/Lyiv because no one likes them there, and there is no benefit and only costs. Destroying those regions under the principle that the only good purpose for a warmongering crackhead is an irradiated exclusion zone, on the other hand...

The claim that Russia wants their territory is propaganda used to justify attacks/diminishment of Russia.

Simply not reality focused. Hatred of Russia programmed higher than European security concerns that could be addressed if "root causes of conflict" (US puppeted provocation of war by Ukraine and supporters) are a basis for peace instead of treating ceasefire as opportunity to rearm and train the newly conscripted.

Just as Russia demands demilitarization of Ukraine, Europe needs to demand demilitarization of Russia to avoid their own military buildup at cost of social programs. Europe continuing to demonize Russia, including blaming ceasefire breakdowns as one sided, is not going to get them treated as human. Not that anyone cares, but prolonging the war is more destruction of Ukraine and less favourable peace.

Even if destabilizing Russia is a unanimous/axiomatic goal, there is greater opportunity through giving it peace, and forcing it to transition to a peacetime economy, instead of the massive success/growth it has generated, including exceptional wage growth, during the war.